Central Asia news: Analytics
19.06.2012 10:44 msk
Analytics
China
Visiting China on June 6-7, Uzbekistan’s president Islam Karimov secured trade, investment and loans worth at least five billion US dollars and signed an strategic partnership treaty. While in Beijing, Karimov also attended a summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, SCO, a bloc consisting of Russia, China, Uzbekistan, Kazakstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan. NBCentralAsia asled Kamoliddin Rabbimov, an Uzbek political analyst based in France, about the shared security concerns and economic interests that feed China’s growing relationship with Central Asia and Uzbekistan in particular.

27.05.2012 22:02 msk
Analytics
Kyrgyzstan
"Tragedy in the south" is a study published by Ethnopolitics Papers, authored by three experts who worked at the international Kyrgyzstan Inquiry Commission: Anna Matveeva, University of Exeter and King's College London, Igor Savin, Russian Academy of Sciences & Bahrom Faizullaev, independent researcher. It argues that political processes and the actions of the authorities cannot exclusively account for the violent clashes that occurred there in June 2010. Rather, the violence emerged out of a growing alienation between the Uzbek and Kyrgyz communities which over time developed a mutual antipathy, and lacked a shared vision of the future. Formal provisions for minorities failed to offset the rising nationalism of the majority group in the South. Political resources and mechanisms for managing interethnic relations had been in steady decline since independence, while politicians came to rely on informal arrangements with Uzbek community leaders. The crisis of April 2010 created a window of opportunity to redefine the place of Uzbeks in the new political order, which their leaders grasped. Surge in criminal rivalries and rapid immigration from the countryside influenced social context, in which violence took place. As interethnic grievances became politicised, the ineptitude of the authorities contributed to the transformation of spontaneous riots into full-scale clashes. A logic of collective insecurities, in both rural and urban contexts, lay behind the actions of both sides. The conflict narratives that emerged in the aftermath continue to feed a situation of a latent conflict, making reconciliation more difficult still.

17.01.2012 21:56 msk
Analytics
Kazakhstan
Today’s ruling class in Kazakhstan has completely lost its capacity for an open political struggle in absence of administrative resource as an unfair advantage. All of a sudden, the political system cherished by Nazarbaev throughout the “years of reform and progress” has grown into a main threat for the desirable stability of Nazarbaev’s regime. The only way for him to win an election today is through suppression of opponents using force, courts, and intimidation, relying upon the dependent government and local self-governments, imposing political censorship and resorting to hypocritical support from his “Eurasian” friends and “international community”. Nazarbaev (and Putin) has long missed his chance for a breakthrough in modernization, following the Chinese pattern (on any other pattern, anyway). Holding out promises of fair elections and transparent competition, but sinking into lies, in reality, Nazarbaev unavoidably leads the country towards huge social, economic and political problems in the nearest future. The enormous gap between authorities playing the game of democracy and the ordinary people is ever growing. In case of another Zhanaozen, no satellite parties or the puppet parliament are going to rescue the regime.

12.01.2011 23:15 msk
Analytics
Kyrgyzstan
The commission, established by the Ombudsman of Kyrgyzstan for investigation of reason of June riots in the south of the republic, believes that the region "faced local conflict, initiated by ethnic Uzbeks, such as K. Batyrov, I. Rasulov, J. Salakhutdinov, K. Abdullaeva. They started this conflict, financed and instigated common Uzbek farmer to go against Kyrgyz, while Kyrgyz finished it". Having doubts about the conclusion of this commission, Ferghana editorial office decided to check its opinion with the opinions of prominent experts. We interviewed few experts both in Kyrgyzstan and abroad. Everyone was asked the same question: "Do you have impression that Uzbek separatism, presented by Ombudsman, becomes the official version of the June riots reasons? Are you personally satisfied with this version? Do you believe in it?"

20.04.2010 19:59 msk
Analytics
Kyrgyzstan
Kyrgyzstan is suffering from a crisis of governance, reports Madeleine Reeves. But an analysis of the problems that limits itself to «state failure» is missing the point. What brought the Kyrgyz on to the streets was inequality and economic misery, muffled for years by the New Great Game.
* * *
Kyrgyzstan is still reeling from the bloodiest week since independence. On Wednesday, 7th of April, 84 people were killed and hundreds injured when troops opened fire on an opposition rally in front of the government building, or White House, in the capital, Bishkek. This was the violence of a government in fear of its people; of a state that was, despite the brutal display of force, chronically weak, and of a president who no longer knew or cared whether live rounds got mixed in with rubber bullets. The violence in Bishkek was chaotic and indiscriminate. It was also profoundly miscalculated. Rather than containing a crowd whose leaders had been arrested the previous night and whose actions had turned violent, it provoked and dispersed it, leading to attacks on government buildings and ministries throughout the city centre and to the arming of a previously unarmed crowd.

02.11.2009 15:25 msk
Analytics
Tajikistan
Conference "Germany - Central Asia: partnership for security strategies" is under way in the capital of Tajikistan. Representative of security structures from Central Asian countries, Germany, Afghanistan, Pakistan take part. Their opposite numbers from Russia, China, France, Italy, Canada, United States, Great Britain, and Ukraine are observers. Representatives of international organizations (Interpol, UN Development Programme, OSCE, and European Union) are present too. Expected activeness of Talib gunmen on the Afghani-Uzbek and Afghani-Tajik borders is discussed.
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